FA Cup 1/128
Global 4-3
AFC Bournemouth vs Barrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 1
BOU
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2007 |
BOU
0 - 2
MKD
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOU
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2007 |
BOU
1 - 3
LEE
26%
27%
48%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BRO
0 - 2
BOU
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Barrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
4 - 0
AFC
31%
28%
42%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOU
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 1
HIN
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
HYD
2 - 1
BAR
74%
17%
9%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 1
NUN
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |