Afan Lido vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 2
AIR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
LID
35%
25%
39%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LID
0 - 2
ABE
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 6
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LID
2 - 1
NEA
20%
23%
56%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ABE
3 - 2
NEW
46%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 2
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
LID
1 - 6
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 0
TNS
17%
22%
62%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |