Afan Lido vs Holywell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
51.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
LID
1 - 1
CAR
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
RIS
2 - 1
LID
27%
21%
52%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LID
3 - 0
ABE
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LID
2 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
8%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
GAR
0 - 1
LID
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HOL
2 - 1
DEN
64%
20%
16%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
HOL
1 - 2
HOL
30%
24%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HOL
4 - 0
GRE
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HOL
6 - 3
KNI
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 10 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
HOL
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |