Afan Lido vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BAL
6 - 0
LID
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
PRE
4 - 0
LID
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
LID
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
7 - 1
LID
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
LID
0 - 5
BAL
15%
21%
65%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
POR
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 1
CON
54%
22%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
AIR
1 - 2
CON
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
ABE
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |