Afan Lido vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
68.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LID
3 - 2
BRI
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 1
LID
55%
21%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
LID
4 - 2
AAF
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 2
LID
14%
16%
71%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
LID
3 - 1
CAE
82%
12%
6%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CON
4 - 0
CAR
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 0
PON
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAR
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
CAR
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 0
COL
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |