Afan Lido vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 2
LID
67%
18%
15%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
LID
5 - 2
TRE
68%
16%
16%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 1
LID
22%
19%
59%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
LID
2 - 2
TAF
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
GOY
1 - 1
LID
32%
21%
47%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BDG
0 - 2
CAM
14%
17%
69%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
BDG
83%
12%
6%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BDG
1 - 2
BRI
10%
16%
74%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
GOY
3 - 2
BDG
78%
13%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 2
BDG
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |