Afan Lido vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
LID
2 - 8
POR
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
LID
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LID
0 - 2
PRE
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
LID
0 - 6
ABE
21%
24%
55%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ABE
5 - 1
LID
75%
16%
10%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
CON
72%
18%
11%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
PRE
1 - 2
BAL
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ABE
1 - 2
BAL
16%
20%
63%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
CEF
0 - 5
BAL
21%
22%
57%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
LID
1 - 6
BAL
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |