Afan Lido vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
LID
2 - 0
ABE
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 1
LID
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
LID
1 - 2
POR
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
LID
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
LID
3 - 2
NEW
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
AIR
4 - 1
BAL
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
AIR
1 - 2
BAL
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
AIR
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 3
AIR
38%
25%
36%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
AIR
3 - 1
CAR
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |