Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
43.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
LID
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAL
4 - 0
LID
70%
18%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
CON
29%
24%
48%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
LID
2 - 1
NEW
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
LID
1 - 3
LLA
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
0 - 0
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 1
CON
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 1
LLA
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LLA
4 - 3
ABE
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ABE
4 - 3
LID
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |