Afan Lido vs Abergavenny Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Afan Lido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
LID
74%
16%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
AAF
2 - 4
LID
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LID
2 - 5
CAM
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LID
1 - 2
GOY
68%
17%
15%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CWM
2 - 0
LID
30%
23%
48%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Abergavenny Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 0
ABE
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 1
AAF
14%
19%
68%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAM
11%
16%
73%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
6 - 0
ABE
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
LLA
4 - 0
ABE
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |