CAF Champions Last 16
Global 5-1
AFAD vs JSM Béjaïa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AFAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AFA
4 - 0
BIN
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
BEJ
1 - 2
AFA
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SOA
0 - 0
AFA
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
DEN
0 - 0
AFA
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
AFA
2 - 2
OUR
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
JSM Béjaïa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EUL
1 - 2
BEJ
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
BEJ
2 - 0
KHR
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
BEJ
1 - 2
AFA
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
TLE
2 - 0
BEJ
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
BEJ
3 - 1
FED
90%
8%
2%
|
75 | 14 | 61 | 0 |