AF Virois vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
6º
1º
39
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRQ
1 - 5
AFV
24%
21%
56%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HCS
0 - 4
AFV
8%
13%
78%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AFV
4 - 0
SAI
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AFV
2 - 1
QUE
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MGA
1 - 2
AFV
26%
21%
54%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 0
DIE
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ALE
3 - 3
LHA
5%
13%
82%
|
28 | 68 | 40 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 1
ALE
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OIS
3 - 3
ALE
61%
22%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
GON
70%
18%
12%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |