AF Virois vs Stade Rennais II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
9º
4º
9
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8.5% | 46% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 54% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SPM
3 - 1
AFV
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
0 - 4
GUI
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
AFV
15%
17%
68%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
3 - 0
USF
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Rennais II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
STA
3 - 2
PON
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 2
STA
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
USF
82%
12%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
VAN
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 0
STA
24%
22%
55%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |