AF Virois vs Lorient II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
14º
13º
32
5º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
STA
2 - 1
AFV
60%
23%
18%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 1
AFV
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AFV
0 - 2
RAC
14%
21%
65%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
AFV
70%
18%
13%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FBB
3 - 2
AFV
67%
18%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 0
RAC
12%
21%
67%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 2
ASB
36%
28%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
FBB
1 - 0
LOR
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 0
CHA
18%
24%
58%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
GUI
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |