AF Virois vs Guingamp II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
4º
9º
4º
7
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 55 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 54 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 49 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 37 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 36 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 31 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 28 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 27 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
5 | 25 |
12º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 23 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 17 |
14º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8.5% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 88% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CES
0 - 1
AFV
15%
17%
68%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
VIT
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
AFV
3 - 0
USF
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
SAI
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ASB
6 - 2
AFV
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
0 - 0
PON
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
CON
2 - 1
GUI
80%
13%
6%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 3
SAI
18%
25%
57%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 0
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 2
AFV
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |