AF Virois vs Ergué-Gaberic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
9º
1º
14
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
1º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 46 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 43 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 43 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 41 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 33 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 28 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 26 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 25 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
14º
|
18% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 68% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 3
AFV
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AFV
3 - 1
SAI
76%
15%
9%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
AFV
18%
18%
65%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 4
AFV
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
AFV
2 - 0
STA
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ergué-Gaberic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ERG
2 - 1
PON
31%
23%
47%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 3
ERG
79%
13%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ERG
2 - 3
USF
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
ERG
77%
13%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FLE
0 - 0
ERG
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |