AF Virois vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
82%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
AFV
0 - 0
AGC
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
OIS
3 - 0
AFV
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AFV
3 - 0
GON
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 3
AFV
30%
22%
49%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AFV
0 - 0
ALE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAE
0 - 0
ANN
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
CAE
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 2
CAE
9%
17%
74%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 0
ROD
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STL
4 - 0
CAE
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |