AF Virois vs Avranches II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
6º
1º
32
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
DIV
1 - 3
AFV
19%
19%
62%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AFV
1 - 1
OIS
65%
19%
17%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GON
4 - 1
AFV
9%
14%
77%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | -3 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AFV
3 - 2
CHE
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 2
AFV
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 2
DIE
42%
25%
33%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 1
AGC
33%
23%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
DIV
2 - 2
AVR
52%
23%
26%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AVR
2 - 0
OIS
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +3 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
GON
2 - 1
AVR
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |