AF Elbasani vs Tomori Berat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
9º
1º
17
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
ELB
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BES
0 - 3
ELB
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ELB
2 - 0
BUR
13%
18%
69%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | +7 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 1
ELB
76%
16%
7%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
BES
0 - 1
ELB
89%
8%
3%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 2
BES
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 0
SHE
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
APO
4 - 1
TOM
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 0
LUS
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
VOR
5 - 1
TOM
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |