AF Elbasani vs Tomori Berat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
9º
1º
17
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
2 - 1
ELB
80%
14%
7%
|
25 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BES
0 - 3
ELB
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ELB
2 - 0
BUR
13%
18%
69%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | +7 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 1
ELB
76%
16%
7%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
BES
0 - 1
ELB
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | +1 |
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 2
BES
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 0
SHE
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
APO
4 - 1
TOM
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 0
LUS
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
VOR
5 - 1
TOM
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |