AF Elbasani vs Laçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
7º
5º
24
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 66 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 61 |
2º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 57 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 47 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
24 | 40 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 36 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 35 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
13% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 24.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
ELB
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
ELB
3 - 0
TEU
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
KFS
1 - 1
ELB
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
ELB
87%
10%
4%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ELB
0 - 0
ETH
11%
14%
76%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Laçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAÇ
0 - 0
BYL
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EGN
2 - 1
LAÇ
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LAÇ
0 - 0
TIR
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LAÇ
3 - 1
FLA
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAÇ
2 - 0
KUK
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |