AF Elbasani vs Laçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
25.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
7º
5º
3
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 63 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 60 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 58 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 56 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
8 | 49 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 47 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
3 | 41 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 39 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 39 |
10º
|
26% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
32.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 36% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
12.5% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 35% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 1
ELB
41%
26%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
ELB
3 - 0
TEU
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
KFS
1 - 1
ELB
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 1
ELB
87%
10%
4%
|
50 | 78 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ELB
0 - 0
ETH
11%
14%
76%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Laçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAÇ
0 - 0
BYL
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
EGN
2 - 1
LAÇ
61%
24%
15%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LAÇ
0 - 0
TIR
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
LAÇ
3 - 1
FLA
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LAÇ
2 - 0
KUK
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |