AF Elbasani vs Burreli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+84%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
9º
1º
40
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BES
0 - 5
ELB
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ELB
2 - 1
LUZ
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
BYL
0 - 0
ELB
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ELB
5 - 2
LUZ
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
1 - 3
ELB
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 1
VOR
12%
20%
68%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 1
BUR
74%
17%
9%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LUZ
2 - 0
BUR
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 0
TOM
46%
26%
27%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
4 - 2
BUR
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |