AF Elbasani vs Burreli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
1º
9º
1º
40
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AF Elbasani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 1
ELB
76%
16%
7%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
BES
0 - 1
ELB
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
APO
11%
20%
70%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
0 - 1
ELB
87%
10%
4%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
VOR
8%
15%
78%
|
11 | 51 | 40 | +2 |
Matches
Burreli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
BUR
4 - 1
BES
31%
28%
42%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
APO
3 - 0
BUR
66%
20%
13%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 2
LUS
36%
27%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
VOR
3 - 1
BUR
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
BUR
0 - 0
KRU
23%
28%
49%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |