Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-0
AEL Limassol vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
LIN
0 - 0
AEL
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
AEL
3 - 0
LIN
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
OMO
1 - 0
AEL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
OMO
1 - 0
AEL
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
AEL
1 - 0
ANO
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
VAL
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 4
PAR
28%
25%
47%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
MET
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
0 - 1
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
CRV
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |