AEL Limassol vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
9º
9º
4
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 53 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 51 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 50 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 48 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 48 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 42 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 34 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 32 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 26 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 24 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 21 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 19 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 18 |
14º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
10.5% | 19% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
89.5% | 81% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AEL
1 - 3
PAP
20%
26%
55%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AEL
1 - 0
OMO
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OMM
2 - 4
AEL
38%
29%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 1
AEL
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NEA
1 - 1
AEL
44%
24%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 2
ETH
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 3
NEA
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
APO
1 - 3
ETH
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OMO
3 - 0
ETH
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ELB
0 - 0
ETH
11%
14%
76%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |