AEL Limassol vs Doxa Katokopias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
1º
4º
3º
35
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 20 |
5º
|
92% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 18 |
6º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
NEA
1 - 1
AEL
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
AEL
2 - 1
APO
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
OTH
1 - 1
AEL
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AEL
2 - 1
AEZ
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
APO
3 - 1
AEL
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Doxa Katokopias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
DOX
2 - 1
AEZ
34%
27%
40%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
NEA
0 - 1
DOX
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DOX
1 - 4
KAR
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
DOX
82%
14%
4%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
DOX
0 - 1
APO
9%
22%
69%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | -1 |