Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
AEL Limassol vs Ayia Napa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
AEL
0 - 0
PAP
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2016 |
ERM
2 - 1
AEL
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
AEL
0 - 2
APO
26%
26%
48%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AYI
0 - 1
AEL
25%
27%
47%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AEL
0 - 1
ANO
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ayia Napa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
OMO
4 - 0
AYI
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
AYI
2 - 3
ETH
32%
27%
42%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
NEA
2 - 2
AYI
63%
22%
15%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AYI
0 - 1
AEL
25%
27%
47%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ENO
2 - 2
AYI
54%
24%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |