Cup Last 16
Global 3-0
AEL Limassol vs Aris Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEL Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
NEA
1 - 3
AEL
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
AEL
0 - 0
ANO
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
ARI
0 - 2
AEL
28%
25%
47%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
APO
2 - 0
AEL
57%
23%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
AEL
4 - 1
KAR
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ARI
1 - 1
AEK
18%
25%
57%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2017 |
AEZ
2 - 3
ARI
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
ARI
0 - 2
AEL
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
APO
5 - 0
ARI
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
ARI
1 - 2
NEA
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |