Q. Europa League Play-Offs Final
Global 0-4
AEK Larnaca vs Slovan Liberec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
AEK
2 - 0
CLI
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
CLI
2 - 3
AEK
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 3
AEK
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
3 - 0
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
0 - 0
OMO
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ZLI
2 - 1
SLI
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SLI
1 - 1
VJI
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
SLI
2 - 0
AWM
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MBO
3 - 0
SLI
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
AWM
1 - 2
SLI
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |