AEK Larnaca vs Pafos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 1
ARI
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
ETH
3 - 1
AEK
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
APO
1 - 1
AEK
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 2
ETH
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
AEK
1 - 0
ANO
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pafos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2022 |
ANO
1 - 0
PAP
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
PAP
1 - 1
ARI
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
APO
0 - 2
PAP
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
APO
2 - 1
PAP
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
PAP
2 - 0
AEK
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |