AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Nicosia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
2º
1º
69
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
73 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
69 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 14 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 6 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
AEK
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
3 - 0
PAF
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 2
APO
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ANO
0 - 1
AEK
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OMO
0 - 1
AEK
48%
26%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Omonia Nicosia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
OMO
0 - 0
ARI
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ANO
0 - 2
OMO
39%
27%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 3
OMO
53%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
OMO
3 - 0
ARI
35%
25%
39%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
OMO
1 - 1
PAF
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |