AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
8º
3º
19
8º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 59 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 52 |
4º
|
73% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 43 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 28 |
9º
|
40.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 25 |
10º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
13º
|
48.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 14 |
14º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
OMM
1 - 5
AEK
17%
27%
56%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
KAR
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ENO
0 - 0
AEK
15%
25%
60%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
ARI
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AEL
1 - 1
AEK
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Omonia Aradippou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
OMO
1 - 0
NEA
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 0
OMO
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
OMO
3 - 5
OMO
15%
25%
60%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
DYP
1 - 2
OMO
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAF
4 - 0
OMO
78%
16%
6%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |