Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 6-1
AEK Larnaca vs Lincoln Red Imps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
ZAL
0 - 0
AEK
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 1
AEK
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ANO
0 - 1
AEK
34%
27%
40%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
AEK
1 - 1
AEL
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
APO
0 - 0
AEK
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln Red Imps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
CEU
3 - 0
LRI
39%
21%
40%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
JOS
0 - 1
LRI
39%
24%
38%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LRI
2 - 2
MON
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2017 |
LRI
4 - 0
LIO
78%
14%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 3
LRI
19%
20%
61%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |