Cup Last 16
Global 8-2
AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ANO
0 - 1
AEK
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
AEK
1 - 3
APO
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
KAR
0 - 3
AEK
21%
26%
54%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
AEK
1 - 0
ETH
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
DOX
1 - 1
AEK
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Karmiotissa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
KAR
0 - 1
OMO
20%
26%
54%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
AEL
4 - 1
KAR
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
KAR
0 - 3
AEK
21%
26%
54%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
AEZ
3 - 3
KAR
36%
26%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
KAR
3 - 3
ARI
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |