AEK Larnaca vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
8º
6º
3
7º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 53 |
1º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 53 |
2º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 50 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 50 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 47 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
3 | 44 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 34 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 33 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
3 | 32 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 29 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 26 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 22 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 18 |
14º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
70.5% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
29.5% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
OMO
1 - 0
AEK
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
AEK
0 - 2
PAP
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
APO
1 - 2
AEK
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 1
AEL
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 1
OMO
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
2 - 3
NEA
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
APO
1 - 3
ETH
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OMO
3 - 0
ETH
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ELB
0 - 0
ETH
11%
14%
76%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ATR
5 - 0
ETH
51%
22%
26%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |