AEK Larnaca vs Ethnikos Achnas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
ARI
1 - 2
AEK
22%
24%
55%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
APO
2 - 0
AEK
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
AEK
2 - 1
ALK
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
AEK
4 - 0
DOX
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
AEK
4 - 0
ARI
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Achnas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ETH
0 - 4
DOX
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
APO
7 - 1
ETH
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ETH
0 - 4
ARI
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ANO
3 - 1
ETH
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
ETH
0 - 3
NEA
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |