Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 5-2
AEK Larnaca vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
CLI
2 - 3
AEK
31%
26%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 3
AEK
23%
24%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
3 - 0
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
0 - 0
OMO
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
AEK
4 - 0
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
CLI
2 - 3
AEK
31%
26%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
CLI
2 - 0
DIF
36%
23%
41%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
DIF
1 - 1
CLI
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
COL
3 - 0
CLI
25%
25%
49%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LIN
4 - 0
CLI
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |