AEK Larnaca vs Aris Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
5º
6º
5º
74
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
APO
1 - 0
AEK
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 0
OMO
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
PAP
4 - 0
AEK
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 2
APO
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
ARI
4 - 0
AEK
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 1
PAP
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 0
APO
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
OMO
0 - 3
ARI
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
ARI
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 2
RIG
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |