AEK Larnaca vs Aris Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NEA
0 - 1
AEK
22%
27%
52%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AEK
4 - 1
ANO
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
ETH
0 - 3
AEK
27%
28%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
APO
0 - 1
AEK
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
AEK
2 - 0
DOX
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ARI
0 - 0
AEZ
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ARI
0 - 3
APO
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
NEA
0 - 0
ARI
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 2
ANO
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
APO
0 - 0
ARI
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |