AEK Larnaca vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
8º
3º
35
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 62 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 58 |
2º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 54 |
3º
|
61.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
4º
|
76.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 44 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 42 |
6º
|
40% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 30 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 26 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 25 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 23 |
11º
|
46% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 19 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 14 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 31% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
AEK
8 - 0
PAE
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
OMO
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
OMM
1 - 5
AEK
17%
27%
56%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
KAR
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
ENO
0 - 0
AEK
15%
25%
60%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NEA
1 - 0
APO
15%
23%
62%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
APO
0 - 0
ETH
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
APO
2 - 2
ETH
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
OMO
3 - 1
APO
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
PAF
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |