AEK Larnaca vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
35.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
5º
6º
5º
71
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
ARI
4 - 0
AEK
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
WHU
4 - 0
AEK
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 1
APO
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
AEK
0 - 2
WHU
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
AEK
3 - 1
ENO
76%
17%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
APO
0 - 0
PAP
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OMO
1 - 1
APO
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
APO
3 - 0
NEA
59%
25%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
APO
0 - 2
OMO
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OMO
0 - 2
APO
30%
27%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |