AEK Larnaca vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
10º
2º
62
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
OLY
0 - 2
AEK
18%
26%
55%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AEK
4 - 3
ARI
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
NEA
4 - 0
AEK
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ANO
0 - 0
AEK
32%
27%
42%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 0
PAF
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
APO
2 - 0
AKR
74%
19%
7%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
APO
4 - 2
ARI
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
APO
17%
26%
57%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AEL
1 - 0
APO
32%
27%
41%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
APO
1 - 0
OLY
62%
24%
14%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |