AEK Larnaca vs Alki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
ERM
2 - 0
AEK
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
APO
3 - 0
AEK
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AEK
2 - 1
ANO
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
AEK
0 - 0
ERM
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ERM
2 - 1
AEK
40%
27%
33%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ALK
0 - 3
AEL
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ENO
5 - 0
ALK
54%
25%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ETH
2 - 1
ALK
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ALK
1 - 3
APO
21%
27%
52%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
ALK
0 - 3
AEK
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |