Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-4
AEK Athens vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.24
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
<0%
+1
5.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
20.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
27.6%
66.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
27.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.2%
-1
32.3%
0-2
18.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.2%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1982 |
KOL
5 - 0
AEK
84%
10%
6%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1982 |
AEK
0 - 1
KOL
35%
24%
41%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
AEK
2 - 0
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
ARG
3 - 0
AEK
62%
19%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1978 |
NTT
5 - 1
AEK
89%
8%
3%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1982 |
UJP
0 - 1
RMA
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
RMA
3 - 1
UJP
84%
10%
6%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1982 |
UJP
3 - 1
GÖT
61%
19%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
GÖT
1 - 1
UJP
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
RSO
1 - 0
UJP
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |