Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-3
AEK Athens vs Trabzonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
23.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
AEK
1 - 1
CSU
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
CSU
0 - 2
AEK
37%
28%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
AEK
0 - 0
IST
50%
26%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
LAM
0 - 1
AEK
24%
27%
49%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
AEK
2 - 0
VNF
92%
7%
2%
|
83 | 38 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
KAS
1 - 1
TRA
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 1
SPA
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 2
TRA
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
VER
1 - 1
TRA
31%
25%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
TRA
2 - 2
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |