Europa League 1/32
Global 3-1
AEK Athens vs Salzburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2007 |
AEK
1 - 4
SEV
24%
27%
50%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
SEV
2 - 0
AEK
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAN
3 - 1
AEK
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
AEK
0 - 0
XAN
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ION
1 - 5
AEK
19%
27%
54%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Salzburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
RBS
2 - 1
MAT
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
MAT
1 - 1
RBS
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
SHA
3 - 1
RBS
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
RBS
3 - 1
WIN
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
RAP
1 - 0
RBS
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |