Europa League 1/16
Global 0-4
AEK Athens vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
ERG
0 - 0
AEK
23%
27%
50%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
AEK
3 - 3
OLP
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
IRA
1 - 1
AEK
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
AEK
3 - 0
ATR
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
AEK
3 - 1
OFI
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
PSG
4 - 2
MON
48%
27%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
PSG
56%
26%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2007 |
PSG
1 - 0
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
PSG
0 - 0
SOC
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |