AEK Athens vs Panserraikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.4%
2-0
19.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
21.3%
11%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
11%
2.6%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
2º
27
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 0
AEK
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AEK
2 - 2
DZG
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
DZG
1 - 2
AEK
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
TRA
1 - 3
AEK
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VNF
0 - 3
AEK
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Panserraikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
OLP
2 - 0
PAN
86%
11%
3%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
TRI
1 - 2
PAN
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
PAN
2 - 3
PGE
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 1
PAN
72%
19%
9%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 0
APL
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |