Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-1
AEK Athens vs Panserraikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.1%
4.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
AEK
1 - 0
OFI
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PAN
1 - 5
AEK
19%
27%
54%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
AEK
2 - 1
XAN
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
AEK
1 - 0
XAN
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TRI
0 - 1
AEK
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Panserraikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PFC
2 - 1
PAN
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
PAN
1 - 5
AEK
19%
27%
54%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
PAN
2 - 3
PAN
81%
14%
5%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
OFI
0 - 0
PAN
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
PAN
1 - 0
LEV
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |