Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 6-0
AEK Athens vs NK Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
AEK
2 - 1
APS
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1996 |
KAL
0 - 3
AEK
21%
26%
53%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1996 |
NKO
0 - 2
AEK
39%
24%
38%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
AEK
6 - 1
IRA
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1996 |
OFI
2 - 1
AEK
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1996 |
NKP
1 - 1
NKO
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
NKO
3 - 4
GOR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1996 |
NKO
0 - 2
AEK
39%
24%
38%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
NKO
1 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
NKO
3 - 1
FCK
63%
20%
16%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |