Europa League 1/16
Global 4-3
AEK Athens vs Litex Lovech analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
OFI
0 - 1
AEK
39%
24%
36%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
AEK
2 - 0
PAN
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2001 |
AEK
3 - 2
OSI
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
ETH
2 - 0
AEK
22%
24%
55%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
OSI
1 - 2
AEK
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Litex Lovech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
LOV
4 - 1
SSO
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
CHB
0 - 2
LOV
19%
25%
55%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2001 |
LOV
2 - 0
LSO
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
SPA
0 - 0
LOV
38%
25%
38%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2001 |
LOV
0 - 0
FCU
72%
17%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |